The metallurgical industry remains one of the key to the Ukrainian economy, and the logistics of metal rolling and raw materials plays a critical role in international trade. In 2025, the cost of metal transportation can change significantly depending on the geopolitical situation, demand in world markets and the availability of logistics routes.
What factors will affect the price? How will the cost of metal delivery change when the conflict is continuing in Ukraine or in case of freezing? We learned about this from experts cups "Ukravtologics" , leading a logistics partner who organizes international transportation of metal products by road and container transport.
The main factors affecting the cost of metal transportation
the price of metal transportation in 2025 depends on several key factors:
- The availability of logistics routes . The war in Ukraine led to changes in traditional supply chains. The use of Western borders and ports of the Danube instead of Black Sea routes increased the time and cost of delivery.
- Fuel prices . The cost of diesel and gas fuel remains unstable, which directly affects the tariffs for cargo transportation.
- Demand for metal supply . If the world economy continues to restore, the need for Ukrainian metal will grow, which will lead to an increase in transportation and potential reducing logistics due to the effect of scale.
- infrastructure restrictions . The restoration of destroyed railway units, bridges and roads can affect transport costs.
- changes in customs procedures . The EU continues to tighten the requirements for the import of metal rolling, which may affect the terms of design and the cost of transportation.
scenario 1: continuation of the military conflict
If the fighting in Ukraine remains, logistics costs will remain high. In 2024, railway tariffs increased on average by 20-30%, and the cost of sea transportation from Black Sea ports is unstable due to threats of shipping. In 2025, the following changes are possible:
- Assignment of road transport . The increase in fuel prices and an increase in downtime at borders can lead to an increase in tariffs by 15-25%.
- growth of tariffs for container transportation . Due to the limited number of working ports, the cost of sea
